Often we turn to history for answers to questions arising from crisis, but with the COVID-19 pandemic, there are few models to which to refer. From an economic standpoint, there are more uncertainties than certainties, especially regarding the duration and what life will look like in the post-crisis “normal”. One thing is sure: recession has spread to every corner of the earth, and it is likely to be without precedent.
International Monetary Fund
On the final Monday of 2019, protesters staged a sit-in at the Beirut offices of Bank Audi, Lebanon’s largest bank. Chants of “We want the money!” were heard as the furious protesters—many of them Audi’s clients—demanded that tellers give them their funds.
Global growth is strong, but policymakers need to navigate uncharted waters and enact complex policy changes to keep the world economy on an even keel. The main risk lies not in economic conditions, but in economic policy debates too often distorted by partisanship. We have a chance to leverage new technologies to lift living standards on a sustainable basis—but we need a more level-headed discussion to chart the path forward.
Doing business around the world has always involved risk, but today risks seem to be multiplying, influencing the willingness of businesses to branch out. On top of slow growth and deflation, 2017 could be a challenging year for the global economy—and yet risk-management strategies such as insurance can alleviate the impact.
After a heavy recession brought on by the military conflict with Russia, Ukraine’s economy and banking system now appear to be firmly on the mend. Indeed, things have improved to such an extent that by the end of May, Moody’s had revised its outlook for Ukrainian banking from negative to stable.